Scenario: In EP 1 Natsuhi is crying her heart out after learning that Krauss has still kept secrets from her even now. She feels betrayed and goes to the hallway to escape from all of this. Her daughter Jessica on her way to the guesthouse finds Natsuhi and gives her the charm to ward off evil spirits which Maria gave her for mouthing off Beatrice (along with Battler). In the morning after Natsuhi wakes up, Genji is the first person who mentions it after Natsuhi spots this ‘prank’.
A strange event in the many that happened by the end of the first day of the family conference. Before I start I´d like to say that it´s worth mentioning that in the anime version both EP1 and EP2 look almost the same, however the description in the sound novel version are not the same. It is mentioned that the bloody hands were found on the knob rather than all over the door for EP1. How different or accurate these are isn’t completely clear. Only one it’s clear here. In both occasions we found something they both have in common: the bloody hands all over Natsuhi’s door.
Natsuhi dismisses this unpleasant event as a nasty prank and mentions how she had a fair idea of who it was (assumed she meant Eva), orders Genji to clean it up later, then she goes on to resume for the preparations for that day’s family conference, which are not going as normal. We don’t know if it was a prank or not but I doubt that it was. Something so immature, rude, and pointless (rather inconvenient and troublesome) doesn’t quite fit anyone on the island. Or I’d like to think that no one would stand to that level no matter how frustrated they are. Thus we speculate that the culprit or any of his or her accomplices are responsible for the bloody hands on both arcs if it was deliberate. Let´s work on this a bit more.
[Unintentional – Mistake – Unplanned] So was it intentional or not? Did the person who did it did so with the same intention as the culprit did? Is this person and the culprit the same? If it was an unplanned action or at least carrying no ill intentions then what was the intent?
Although there may be others I can think of a simple situation why a person would do such thing – at the border of death. Put simply, a dying person. Someone fatally injured running across the long corridors on the 2nd floor of the mansion. That person after running away reached Natsuhi’s rooms and he tried to enter Natsuhi’s room to escape from the pursuer. That person never quite made it and only managed to try to turn the knob a few times or once. The injured person understood it was locked and either moved on and was killed on that spot by the culprit.
… However, isn’t there a major contradiction here?
Contradiction: If the one with the bloody hands was not the culprit and it was not a deliberate action then the person was probably hurt. How do we explain the blood if that’s not the case then? The major contradiction here it’s that that person should’ve been able to knock on Natsuhi’s door HARD (given the person at least had that much energy) rather than merely trying to open the door leading to it or shouted his lungs out so everyone would hear the screams. If a person was indeed crying for help or trying to get Natsuhi’s attention to open the door to save himself (rather than simply play her a horrible prank) then he would made sure that she’d open the door by making as much noise to get her attention! I’m sure if there was enough noise on the other side of the door whether the screaming or any knocking Natsuhi would’ve heard some of it and waken up even if she was really tired. Was the medicine she took that strong?
Here is something to think about. If the person who was just running way was just trying to enter an empty room then does that mean he wasn’t familiar with the rules around the house about keeping rooms locked? Did he not know it was Natsuhi’s room (thus ‘off limits’)? Did he know that yet tried to her attention despite knowing it was locked? Then wouldn’t it make more sense Natsuhi noticing something on that night.. which doesn’t seem to the case?
[Theory] someone was looking for a place to hide
Assuming the person who was running away needed a room to hide and that’s the reason why he grabbed Natsuhi’s doorknob hence that action didn’t have any special meaning to it then he probably would’ve moved on after giving up on Natsuhi’s room and looked for a different room around that floor or in others. This sounds rational, yet this still doesn’t make as much sense as we would like.
We forget why that person didn’t still cry out for help at all! Does this imply that either that person wasn’t able to or that he was silenced before he even could? Did that person know that he was the only one on this huge mansion, hence there was no point in crying for help because the killer already got everyone on the main mansion (chosen by the key) meaning that whoever could help him was staying at the guest house and the only option was to run away and hide?
Follow-up theory: If we conclude that this was the case and the one tried to open Natsuhi’s door was not the culprit but rather was someone trying to get away then all of this sounds most logical but ONLY if we assume that the person either assumed or knew well that he was the only one on the mansion and that’s why that person did not do anything to get anyone’s help. Maybe that person knew that the other five were already stuffed in the garden shed or most likely the dining room when he overheard or saw the culprit? Then does that mean he also knew that Kinzo was dead too thus no point in asking for his help either?
Is that really the case? I’m not convinced. It is still very unlikely to think that a person wouldn’t cry out for help in that state or even make a big ruckus while running for his or her life.. someone should’ve noticed, even if at this point Natsuhi was probably the one person on that huge mansion.
I know. You’re probably thinking that he must’ve been killed outside of Natsuhi’s door before he could make a ruckus, riiiiight?
Have you not noticed it? There’s a huge inconsistency here, seee? You know.. if that person was killed right on that spot then.. Then..
Shouldn’t there be blood on the floor or traces of blood around the premise?
Do you believe the culprit just cleaned it up then? Even if he (injured person) just running away and Natsuhi’s door was one of the many doors he tried to unsuccessfully open, no, if he was just looking for a room to hide then blood probably would’ve been found on other doors on that floor. See? It doesn’t look like he was looking for room to hide because there are no traces of it. Also if the culprit would’ve cared to wipe away any traces of blood then the culprit would’ve made sure to get the blood from Natsuhi’s door after taking care of the body if he could.
Ah, maybe Natsuhi’s door was the only one he had the chance to try out because he was killed right after that? No. Although this is consistent with no blood being found on other doorknobs, again why there are no traces of blood on the floor outside of Natsuhi’s door from the injured person or from the final strike the culprit did to finish him off cannot be explained this way. I’m sure the culprit would bother to erase any blood stains around the premise in addition to the one on the door if he wished or he was able. The culprit we know seems like a meticulous person after all.
In the end, the culprit didn’t, implies that this wasn’t the case. Or he didn’t have to because it didn’t happen this way. At any rate, none of the situations add up well.
After all this reasoning we come to the conclusion that it was not the injured person that did. We theorize that it must be the culprit that did it. It was not an injured person randomly looking for a room to hide either otherwise traces of blood would’ve been found! It also tells us that it’s not likely that that fatally injured person cried for help otherwise at least Natsuhi would’ve heard that person! As a result we come to the most logical explanation that it was an accomplice or most likely the culprit is responsible for the bloody hands!
Quite disturbing event.